I have added a page entitled ‘Bayes and decline‘ that will deal with the more technical details of the decline effect. In particular, it will explain why I regard the phenomenon as only explainable using a Bayesian approach.
I’ve also updated the Downloads page by adding an Excel spreadsheet with some probability experiments I ran several …
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- Two new research areas
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- A very promising discussion
- Progress on book launch
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- Better news for Tallbloke (Climategate II)
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- More on the decline effect in drug research
- The scary truth about audit software blogging
- Experimental data uploaded, new page
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