I can offer the reader two downloads on nonlinear probability at the moment, neither one an entirely satisfactory introduction to the subject.

This first paper was a special supplement to Frequencies, the newsletter/journal about size law relationships that I published in 2001-02. It coins the term ‘naked-eye quantum mechanics’ and discusses some of my earliest findings in what I now usually refer to as ‘nonlinear probability’. Although my work has gone far deeper in the years since this appeared, it is still a useful introduction to the topic.

Special supplement to FrequenciesSpecial1

As another imperfect introductory perspective, I have uploaded my slides presentation for the 2010 Joint Statistical Meetings, August 2010, in Vancouver, B.C.

These slides again lay out (alas, in very brief fashion) the case for the decline effect. They are far from being an ideal introduction to the theoretical issues, but so far they are my only formal publication on the subject.

There were about 90 people present, pretty good for 8:30 am on a Monday. There was plenty of interest and the session was judged a success by chair Milo Schield and the other four speakers who appeared. Many thanks to everyone, especially to Milo.

Here is the PowerPoint slide set:  Probability in Decline v1.0

I recently had a reader ask about the data underlying the JSM paper. So I’ve added an Excel spreadsheet with some examples of experiments:
Decline Effect experimental data Nov 2011